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Red0
25821.5
6532.4
37411.5
Blue18
2317.5
20721.0
12556.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1010020304050018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
653
#32
2.40.8
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
231
#16
7.50.6
6.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3741
#40
1.50.8
1.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
6.10.7
0.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2582
#23
1.50.9
3.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2072
#51
1.00.7
2.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End