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Qual 92011 Lone Star Regional
Red0
30161.2
26132.8
38233.6
Blue36
37359.3
38343.2
258730.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529020406080036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3823
#46
3.61.2
3.6→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 27.3
2587
#3
30.90.7
19.1→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2613
#47
2.80.7
2.8→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
3735
#35
9.35.3
9.3→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3016
#30
1.20.7
2.8→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
3834
#12
3.20.8
3.2→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—