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Red3
4417.5
29794.5
37287.6
Blue34
29692.7
258318.1
30161.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82303040506070334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3728
#28
7.60.6
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
2583
#25
18.10.9
18.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
441
#33
7.50.6
4.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2969
#20
2.70.9
0.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2979
#14
4.50.6
3.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3016
#30
1.21.1
2.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End