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Qual 162011 Lone Star Regional
Red3
293626.4
2882-0.3
18016.0
Blue38
38343.2
37310.2
62428.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26190406080100338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2936
#2
26.41.4
18.5→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
624
#5
28.81.5
14.8→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1801
#38
6.01.8
4.8→3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
3834
#12
3.21.5
4.0→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2882
#17
-0.31.8
1.4→-0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
3731
#11
0.21.5
0.9→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—