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Quarterfinal 1-22011 Virginia Regional
Red113
5404.6
188527.4
236341.9
Blue14
17936.5
5397.0
141821.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7629020406010012014016011314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#2
41.90.7
40.3→41.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.7
1418
#18
21.20.4
21.6→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1885
#1
27.40.7
25.9→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.5
539
#14
7.00.5
7.4→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
540
#29
4.61.2
2.2→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.9
1793
#15
6.50.5
7.0→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—