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Semifinal 1-22011 Virginia Regional
Red105
5404.6
188527.4
236341.9
Blue35
12217.7
111117.9
20688.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783905010015010535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#2
41.90.5
41.4→41.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.9
1111
#12
17.90.2
18.1→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1885
#1
27.40.5
26.9→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.7
122
#7
17.70.2
17.9→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
540
#29
4.60.9
3.8→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.3
2068
#55
8.90.2
9.1→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—