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Quarterfinal 2-12011 Virginia Regional
Red78
161014.7
159819.3
109511.6
Blue0
12217.7
111117.9
20688.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443010203050607080780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#17
19.30.6
18.6→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
1111
#12
17.90.7
17.8→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1610
#11
14.70.8
13.7→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
122
#7
17.70.7
17.6→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1095
#5
11.60.8
10.6→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
2068
#55
8.91.0
8.7→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—