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Qual 112011 Virginia Regional
Red0
18294.7
31367.5
24023.9
Blue67
5397.0
4055.1
167639.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15490406080100120140067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#39
7.51.7
10.5→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 31.8
1676
#6
39.31.6
35.1→36.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1829
#42
4.71.7
4.6→2.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.2
539
#14
7.02.0
3.7→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2402
#41
3.91.7
5.1→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
405
#57
5.12.0
4.5→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—