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Qual 122011 Virginia Regional
Red45
188527.4
19088.8
37096.0
Blue7
33611.8
4013.8
15225.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2911020406080457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#1
27.41.0
18.2→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.5
1522
#30
5.00.4
4.6→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1908
#27
8.81.6
6.0→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.0
401
#44
3.80.6
6.2→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3709
#54
6.01.6
2.2→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
3361
#59
1.80.6
3.2→2.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—