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Qual 142011 Virginia Regional
Red17
238620.6
38724.8
5404.6
Blue6
108622.5
3883.4
29881.3
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26240102030405060176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#23
20.60.4
17.4→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
1086
#24
22.51.2
17.2→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3872
#16
4.80.6
2.4→1.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
388
#46
3.41.6
5.1→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
540
#29
4.60.6
4.7→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
2988
#21
1.31.6
2.8→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—