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Qual 152011 Virginia Regional
Red0
15992.7
17936.5
61214.9
Blue79
2538.0
7513.7
109511.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510406080100120140079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#20
14.91.2
14.0→12.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 23.1
25
#4
38.02.0
31.7→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1793
#15
6.51.7
2.6→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.2
75
#22
13.72.0
9.6→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1599
#60
2.71.7
3.3→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.9
1095
#5
11.62.8
4.2→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—