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Qual 162011 Virginia Regional
Red70
141821.2
42213.5
299811.2
Blue4
31688.8
20282.5
1262-0.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312201040506070704

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#18
21.22.3
18.8→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.4
3168
#48
8.81.6
9.1→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
422
#10
13.52.9
4.6→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.0
2028
#38
2.51.6
5.2→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2998
#28
11.23.4
5.8→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.9
1262
#37
-0.71.6
8.7→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—