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Red5
32587.3
20214.8
10336.6
Blue80
33591.7
61214.9
108622.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21280406080100120580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#26
7.31.4
6.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
1086
#24
22.52.6
18.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1033
#35
6.61.3
10.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
612
#20
14.92.6
11.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2021
#53
4.81.4
4.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3359
#49
1.74.4
-3.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End