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Qual 762011 Virginia Regional
Red0
4055.1
30792.1
33611.8
Blue46
6174.5
21865.3
238620.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13220406080100046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
405
#57
5.10.4
6.3→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.6
2386
#23
20.61.0
19.1→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3079
#62
2.10.5
-0.2→-0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
2186
#31
5.31.0
4.6→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3361
#59
1.80.5
-0.4→-0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
617
#61
4.51.6
3.3→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—