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Red0
29062.1
38601.8
17784.3
Blue2
13590.3
21483.0
35762.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78020304002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#32
4.30.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2148
#27
3.00.4
2.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2906
#34
2.10.7
3.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3576
#47
2.20.4
2.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3860
#44
1.80.7
1.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1359
#38
0.30.4
2.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End