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Qual 122011 Seattle Cascade Regional
Red23
292816.1
32195.6
212220.0
Blue4
36622.5
12582.8
13185.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20110406080100234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#4
20.00.4
11.7→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.9
1318
#39
5.00.7
7.2→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2928
#2
16.10.4
3.4→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.3
1258
#31
2.80.7
2.6→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3219
#40
5.60.4
3.6→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
3662
#19
2.50.7
2.6→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—