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Quarterfinal 2-32011 Seattle Olympic Regional
Red38
260510.9
25552.9
47311.9
Blue30
29225.3
15951.5
204611.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26160204060803830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
473
#18
11.90.3
11.6→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
2046
#16
11.60.3
11.3→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2605
#4
10.90.3
10.6→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
2922
#6
5.30.3
5.0→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2555
#40
2.90.3
2.6→2.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
1595
#29
1.50.3
1.2→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—