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Semifinal 2-22011 Seattle Olympic Regional
Red19
299011.1
18998.5
339319.6
Blue0
32202.3
29078.2
129415.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40250206080100190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#2
19.60.4
19.2→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
1294
#3
15.20.6
15.8→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2990
#19
11.10.4
10.7→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
2907
#8
8.20.6
8.8→8.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1899
#15
8.50.4
8.0→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
3220
#28
2.30.6
2.9→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—