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Qual 332011 Seattle Olympic Regional
Red30
129415.2
25174.0
36639.9
Blue3
32182.1
204611.6
38550.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20170406080100303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#3
15.20.8
9.3→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.6
2046
#16
11.61.2
10.3→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3663
#14
9.90.8
7.1→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.8
3218
#22
2.11.2
3.1→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2517
#17
4.00.8
3.5→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
3855
#47
0.71.2
3.8→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—