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Red21
38763.6
32202.3
38131.3
Blue45
323812.6
36846.7
35867.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6120203040502145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3876
#25
3.61.1
2.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
12.62.8
6.99.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3220
#28
2.31.1
2.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
3586
#20
7.82.8
3.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3813
#46
1.31.1
1.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3684
#11
6.72.8
1.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End