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Red54
142520.5
323812.6
21477.1
Blue38
47311.9
260510.9
25552.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222060801005438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
20.220.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
473
#18
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.60.3
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
10.90.3
10.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2147
#32
7.10.3
6.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2555
#40
2.90.3
2.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End