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Quarterfinal 2-12011 Seattle Olympic Regional
Red54
25552.9
47311.9
260510.9
Blue14
15951.5
204611.6
29225.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24170103040506070805414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
473
#18
11.90.6
11.0→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
2046
#16
11.60.1
11.4→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2605
#4
10.90.6
9.9→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
2922
#6
5.30.1
5.1→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2555
#40
2.90.8
1.8→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
1595
#29
1.50.1
1.3→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—