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Red77
18998.5
299011.1
339319.6
Blue0
129415.2
29078.2
32202.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37280206080770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.8
18.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
15.20.6
16.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2990
#19
11.10.8
9.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
8.20.6
9.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1899
#15
8.50.8
7.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
3220
#28
2.30.7
3.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End