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Red56
30223.0
49429.7
36412.9
Blue7
363810.0
83511.6
132216.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431706080100120140567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
29.70.8
17.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1322
#20
16.90.7
8.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
#6
23.00.8
17.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
835
#16
11.60.7
3.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3641
#37
2.91.4
4.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3638
#13
10.00.8
8.88.0
Auto
Teleop
End