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Red0
207511.3
35485.3
353617.4
Blue3
214522.2
26270.4
2409.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010203040506003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.41.3
14.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2145
#17
22.21.0
14.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2075
#38
11.31.2
6.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
240
#23
9.11.7
4.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3548
#26
5.310.3
11.51.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2627
#40
0.41.7
5.03.3
Auto
Teleop
End