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Red40
21944.7
13512.8
162527.0
Blue7
28305.2
10915.5
938.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47160406080100407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.2
26.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
93
#40
8.01.0
9.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
135
#9
12.80.2
12.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1091
#24
5.51.0
4.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#43
4.70.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2830
#47
5.21.1
5.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End