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Red30
178111.1
18645.2
203912.8
Blue102
173227.2
336213.4
167518.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2549040608010012030102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#29
12.80.1
12.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.4
27.24.1
21.325.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1781
#18
11.10.1
10.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1675
#13
18.94.1
13.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1864
#37
5.20.1
5.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
3362
#35
13.44.1
10.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End