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Red5
12312.9
36323.5
36174.8
Blue17
3139.2
261220.5
377313.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1233020406080100517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#14
12.90.5
8.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
2612
#18
20.50.7
20.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3617
#19
4.80.5
4.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
13.30.7
6.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3632
#28
3.50.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
313
#8
9.20.7
3.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End