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Red8
28329.3
5151.4
30022.3
Blue25
24010.1
152822.8
32615.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11420206080100120825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#12
9.30.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
22.80.6
15.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3002
#35
2.30.4
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
326
#9
15.30.6
11.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
515
#32
1.40.4
3.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
240
#16
10.10.6
10.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End