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Red31
26766.2
125022.1
30966.9
Blue3
37064.3
377313.3
5151.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3015020406080313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.2
17.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
13.30.7
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#22
6.90.2
6.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3706
#39
4.31.1
2.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#11
6.20.2
3.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
515
#32
1.40.7
2.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End