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Red0
262013.6
3604-0.3
36174.8
Blue16
28329.3
365611.8
36028.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329020406080100120016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#21
13.60.8
12.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3656
#15
11.80.5
9.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3617
#19
4.80.8
2.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
2832
#12
9.30.5
9.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3604
#34
-0.30.8
1.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
3602
#29
8.40.5
7.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End