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Red49
125022.1
36323.5
32615.3
Blue45
30819.7
34019.2
26766.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801004945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.5
21.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
308
#6
19.70.6
18.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
#9
15.30.5
14.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3401
#13
9.20.6
8.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3632
#28
3.50.5
3.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2676
#11
6.20.6
6.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End