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Red36
37681.9
152822.8
377313.3
Blue3
36683.8
36056.3
24010.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392206080100363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.0
19.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
240
#16
10.11.1
12.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.30.0
14.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3605
#24
6.31.1
7.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3768
#36
1.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3668
#40
3.81.1
4.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End