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Red35
7817.5
19518.8
83915.5
Blue20
12515.2
20790.5
16604.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522004060801003520

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
18.80.9
21.520.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
125
Unranked
15.20.0
16.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
Unranked
17.50.9
16.215.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1660
Unranked
4.10.0
5.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
15.50.9
14.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
2079
Unranked
0.50.0
-1.6-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End