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Red30
19013.3
23012.9
34513.5
Blue8
271310.9
17352.5
236.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25220406080100308

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
13.30.3
9.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2713
Unranked
10.90.8
10.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
Unranked
12.90.3
12.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
23
Unranked
6.50.7
6.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3451
Unranked
3.50.3
2.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1735
Unranked
2.50.7
5.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End