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Red40
19013.3
30447.4
328012.1
Blue27
23429.2
2289.6
1739.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272710203040504027

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
13.30.6
11.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
228
Unranked
9.60.0
9.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3280
Unranked
12.10.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
173
Unranked
9.20.0
8.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3044
Unranked
7.40.6
5.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2342
Unranked
9.20.0
8.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End