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Red16
17352.5
1217.1
7817.5
Blue35
886.6
46716.2
27914.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262901020405060701635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
Unranked
17.50.5
15.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
467
Unranked
16.20.3
16.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
121
Unranked
7.10.5
6.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
88
Unranked
6.60.3
6.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1735
Unranked
2.50.5
4.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2791
Unranked
4.90.3
5.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End