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Red3
16876.5
20790.5
3199.4
Blue16
271310.9
17610.1
32364.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18260406080316

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
9.40.7
10.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2713
Unranked
10.90.5
11.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1687
Unranked
6.50.7
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
176
Unranked
10.10.5
9.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2079
Unranked
0.50.7
-0.8-1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3236
Unranked
4.00.5
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End