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Red36
271310.9
328012.1
55813.3
Blue55
107310.8
83915.5
46716.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364202060803655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
Unranked
13.30.0
13.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
467
Unranked
16.20.7
16.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3280
Unranked
12.10.0
11.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
839
Unranked
15.50.7
14.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2713
Unranked
10.90.0
11.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1073
Unranked
10.80.7
10.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End