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Red28
18114.6
6110.5
32364.0
Blue26
27914.9
1217.1
12515.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30260501001502826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
14.60.1
15.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
125
Unranked
15.20.0
14.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
Unranked
10.50.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
121
Unranked
7.10.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3236
Unranked
4.00.1
4.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2791
Unranked
4.90.0
6.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End