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Red53
19518.8
20790.5
146817.6
Blue36
23012.9
23429.2
17518.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333902060805336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
18.81.0
17.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
175
Unranked
18.10.2
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1468
Unranked
17.61.0
16.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
230
Unranked
12.90.2
12.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2079
Unranked
0.51.0
-0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
2342
Unranked
9.20.2
9.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End