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Red10
46716.2
10584.0
16604.1
Blue15
19914.5
32364.0
110011.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262104060801001201015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
16.20.8
17.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1100
Unranked
11.40.3
12.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1660
Unranked
4.10.8
4.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1991
Unranked
4.50.3
4.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
Unranked
4.00.8
3.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3236
Unranked
4.00.3
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End