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Red35
55813.3
2289.6
13117.4
Blue3
6636.5
886.6
17352.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411806080100353

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
17.40.3
17.717.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
88
Unranked
6.60.7
7.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
13.30.3
13.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
663
Unranked
6.50.7
7.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
228
Unranked
9.60.3
9.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1735
Unranked
2.50.7
3.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End