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Red28
12613.1
18114.6
17610.1
Blue48
6110.5
346714.3
328012.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060801001202848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
14.60.5
15.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3467
Unranked
14.30.7
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
Unranked
13.10.5
13.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3280
Unranked
12.10.7
11.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
Unranked
10.10.5
9.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
61
Unranked
10.50.7
9.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End