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Red8
9742.3
31203.7
37590.7
Blue42
9955.1
2076.4
29193.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions580101520253035842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3120
#31
3.70.3
2.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
207
#49
6.42.8
4.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
974
#52
2.30.3
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
995
#17
5.12.8
1.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3759
#62
0.70.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2919
#34
3.32.8
2.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End