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Red11
14382.3
36772.9
40195.8
Blue5
39250.4
3839.2
29412.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122105101525303540115

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4019
#15
5.80.1
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
294
#3
12.91.3
10.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3677
#23
2.90.1
3.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
383
#13
9.21.3
7.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1438
#56
2.30.1
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3925
#47
0.41.3
2.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End