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Red21
39930.4
33017.3
42014.8
Blue16
15156.7
39342.4
40195.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20120515253035402116

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#7
17.30.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
1515
#32
6.70.3
3.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.80.0
4.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4019
#15
5.80.3
4.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3993
#48
0.40.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3934
#54
2.40.3
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End