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Red19
30272.4
119713.0
39522.1
Blue8
16923.2
9804.6
17595.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179051520253035198

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.00.1
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1759
#30
5.30.1
3.83.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3027
#22
2.40.1
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
980
#37
4.60.1
3.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3952
#39
2.10.1
4.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1692
#41
3.20.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End