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Red36
22913.7
7432.3
151113.3
Blue54
112410.4
19229.7
206719.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283710204050603654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#41
13.70.4
13.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
2067
#30
19.40.9
18.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1511
#14
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1124
#34
10.41.2
9.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
743
#52
2.30.4
1.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1922
#23
9.70.9
8.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End