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Red28
31042.5
19521.5
34613.3
Blue18
28368.7
17842.2
155910.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422510153035402818

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
21.50.2
18.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
1559
#59
10.10.2
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3461
#21
3.30.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2836
#53
8.70.2
8.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3104
#56
2.50.2
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1784
#64
2.20.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End